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A Model of Long-Term Conflict Resolution and Cooperation
Journal of Conflict Resolution ( IF 2.2 ) Pub Date : 2025-05-10 , DOI: 10.1177/00220027251338841
David A. Peterson, Mirta Galesic, Ross A. Hammond

The formal end of a political conflict does not always create lasting peace, as interpersonal violence can persist for years or decades after large-scale hostility ends. A key question for policymakers and peace builders, then, is how interventions into situations of low social capital might resolve persistent interpersonal conflicts sustained through complex networks of interaction. Existing approaches to this question generally focus on the small-scale effects of interventions like peace education that seek to change the attitudes of a few individuals at a time. Less focus has been paid to how such programs could leverage social networks to have broader effects on society as a whole. This paper explores this scale effect by building a conceptual agent-based model of conflict resolution and cooperation to examine when new ideas introduced by peace builders might spread throughout a population. We find significant benefits to layering different kinds of programs on the same populations, with the goal of leveraging the structure of society to maximize intervention impact.

中文翻译:


长期冲突解决与合作的典范



政治冲突的正式结束并不总是能带来持久的和平,因为在大规模敌对行动结束后,人际暴力可能会持续数年或数十年。因此,政策制定者和和平建设者面临的一个关键问题是,对低社会资本情况的干预如何解决通过复杂的互动网络持续存在的持续人际冲突。解决这个问题的现有方法通常集中在和平教育等干预措施的小规模影响上,这些干预措施试图一次改变几个人的态度。人们较少关注此类计划如何利用社交网络对整个社会产生更广泛的影响。本文通过构建一个基于概念代理的冲突解决和合作模型来探讨这种规模效应,以研究和平建设者引入的新想法何时可能在人群中传播。我们发现对同一人群进行不同类型的分层计划有显着的好处,目的是利用社会结构来最大化干预影响。
更新日期:2025-05-10
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