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The Prodigal Child Returns? Attitudes towards Return Migration in a Developing Economy
International Studies Quarterly ( IF 2.4 ) Pub Date : 2025-05-21 , DOI: 10.1093/isq/sqaf041
Melle Scholten

Data estimates suggest that up to half of all migrants return to the country of origin within 5 years of leaving. Return migration is known to be a boon for the local economy and a catalyst for political reform. However, these effects are conditional on successful reintegration, which is dependent on the preferences of nonmigrants. What causes negative attitudes towards return migration, given its significant potential economic benefits? I argue that nonmigrants are concerned about both the economic and political competition of returnees. Nonmigrants prefer to welcome back migrants who can bring financial capital and employment back home, but will oppose competitors on the job market when unemployment is high. Furthermore, nonmigrants are concerned about the potential role of return migrants as norm entrepreneurs. I test my hypotheses with a conjoint survey experiment conducted in Colombia, as well as an analysis of the 2016 peace referendum.

中文翻译:

浪子回头?发展中经济体对回流移民的态度

数据估计表明,多达一半的移民在离开后 5 年内返回原籍国。众所周知,回流移民是当地经济的福音,也是政治改革的催化剂。然而,这些影响是以成功重新融入为条件的,而成功重新融入社会取决于非移民的偏好。鉴于回流移民的巨大潜在经济利益,是什么导致了对回流移民的消极态度?我认为,非移民既关心海返者的经济竞争,也关心海返者的政治竞争。非移民更愿意欢迎能够将金融资本和就业带回国内的移民,但在失业率高时,他们会在就业市场上与竞争对手作对。此外,非移民担心回国移民作为规范企业家的潜在作用。我通过在哥伦比亚进行的联合调查实验以及对 2016 年和平公投的分析来检验我的假设。
更新日期:2025-05-21
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